Saturday, April 4, 2015

Iran Peace Deal

    I woke up yesterday to find about sixty emails in my inbox declaring peace ensured and nuclear holocaust averted--we have made a deal with Iran!
    (As a side note, I would be curious to know how this deal is being reported in Iran--considering what enormous concessions Iran made versus the US--but my Farsi is very, very minimal, so I can't read any Iranian sources yet; I'm working on my language skills, but it's slow.) 
    I read the articles and newsflashes carefully, to see who gave more ground, what the terms of the deal are, who's holding the strings, etc. Seems so far, to me, like a pretty good template of everything we asked for--freeze centrifuges, dilute and get rid of uranium, allow hyper-intrusive inspections. The sanctions relief bit seems fairly murky, but I can only assume--hope--that there's a definite path to lifting them fully and soon, otherwise Iran wouldn't have capitulated.
    I'm also still unclear as to how much, exactly, did Iran capitulate--all this downsizing of centrifuge stockpiles and prevention of Iran's producing nuclear weapon-grade uranium makes me wonder if this will infringe on Iran's ability to even produce nuclear energy. I'm not a fan of nuclear energy--it's far to risky to be offered as a nice alternative alongside renewables--but the 1968 NPT (Non-Proliferation Treaty), which Iran is a party to, guarantees all non-nuclear-weapons states the right to enrich uranium for energy. For some time that was all Iran did and professed to do, and Bush still made threats against even that. So I'm hoping that this so-called peace deal doesn't gouge deeper than is necessary.
    Also, one thing I noticed about the emails I was getting, was that though a lot of them acknowledged that the threat hasn't run its course, and urged me to keep signing petitions to Congress supporting peace, a lot of others simply asked me to sign a thank-you card to Obama. Which rings a little wrong with me--Obama gets all the credit for this deal? I was appreciative of his State of the Union statement that he would veto any anti-Iran-deal legislation he saw, but he's also promised not to take the military options off the table (I interpreted this as trying to appease the war hawks--"don't worry, there's still a chance we can use military force..."). Obama isn't really the one--or at least not the only one--who deserves commemmoration and praise for this deal, as I see it.
    Even with this supposed victory and proof of diplomacy's fruits, we have to assign credit to the Americans, not the Iranians. As if it was solely our powers of persuasion and guileless commitment to world peace that led Iran to pledge against its nuclear aspirations.
    Perhaps, ought we to send thank-you cards to Ayatollah Khameini and President Rouhani and all the Iranian negotiators? What about the rest of the P5+1 countries who participated?
    The point of diplomacy isn't that somebody wins--it's that nobody loses. And maybe everyone wins. But in this case, in this fear-saturated country, we can't say that we only negotiated our way to peace--we have to have triumphed. We have to have extracted a harsh price from Iran and given up almost nothing ourselves. We have to have won. And they have to have lost.

No comments:

Post a Comment