I woke up yesterday to find about sixty emails in my inbox declaring peace ensured and nuclear holocaust averted--we have made a deal with Iran!
(As a side note, I would be curious to know how this deal is being
reported in Iran--considering what enormous concessions Iran made versus
the US--but my Farsi is very, very minimal, so I can't read any Iranian
sources yet; I'm working on my language skills, but it's slow.)
I read the articles and newsflashes carefully, to see who gave more
ground, what the terms of the deal are, who's holding the strings, etc.
Seems so far, to me, like a pretty good template of everything we asked
for--freeze centrifuges, dilute and get rid of uranium, allow
hyper-intrusive inspections. The sanctions relief bit seems fairly
murky, but I can only assume--hope--that there's a definite path to
lifting them fully and soon, otherwise Iran wouldn't have capitulated.
I'm also still unclear as to how much, exactly, did Iran
capitulate--all this downsizing of centrifuge stockpiles and prevention
of Iran's producing nuclear weapon-grade uranium makes me wonder if this
will infringe on Iran's ability to even produce nuclear energy. I'm not
a fan of nuclear energy--it's far to risky to be offered as a nice
alternative alongside renewables--but the 1968 NPT (Non-Proliferation
Treaty), which Iran is a party to, guarantees all non-nuclear-weapons
states the right to enrich uranium for energy. For some time that was
all Iran did and professed to do, and Bush still made threats against
even that. So I'm hoping that this so-called peace deal doesn't gouge
deeper than is necessary.
Also, one thing I noticed about
the emails I was getting, was that though a lot of them acknowledged
that the threat hasn't run its course, and urged me to keep signing
petitions to Congress supporting peace, a lot of others simply asked me
to sign a thank-you card to Obama. Which rings a little wrong with
me--Obama gets all the credit for this deal? I was appreciative of his
State of the Union statement that he would veto any anti-Iran-deal
legislation he saw, but he's also promised not to take the military
options off the table (I interpreted this as trying to appease the war
hawks--"don't worry, there's still a chance we can use military
force..."). Obama isn't really the one--or at least not the only
one--who deserves commemmoration and praise for this deal, as I see it.
Even with this supposed victory and proof of diplomacy's fruits, we
have to assign credit to the Americans, not the Iranians. As if it was
solely our powers of persuasion and guileless commitment to world peace
that led Iran to pledge against its nuclear aspirations.
Perhaps, ought we to send thank-you cards to Ayatollah Khameini and
President Rouhani and all the Iranian negotiators? What about the rest
of the P5+1 countries who participated?
The point of
diplomacy isn't that somebody wins--it's that nobody loses. And maybe
everyone wins. But in this case, in this fear-saturated country, we
can't say that we only negotiated our way to peace--we have to have
triumphed. We have to have extracted a harsh price from Iran and given up almost nothing ourselves. We have to have won. And they have to have lost.
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